Monday, January 2, 2012

So You Want 2012 Predictions...Not Happening!

Greetings, we are. The start of a new fresh and what we all hope is a fantastic year...I know I do. This is typically the time of year where people in a variety of professions...including our own...provide their predictions for the year. We look into our crystal balls, shuffle the Tarot card deck and throw some chicken bones around. We will discuss what the next fad will be, the next new technology or best practice that will shake the foundations of leadership development, talent management, learning or people.

Sorry to disappoint...Not going to happen...

We do these things to try and provide some amount of certainty in an increasingly uncertain world. We are heading into 2012 with the same levels of volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity (VUCA) that we started ended 2011 with...

When people are involved...what you can do is prepare yourself for it.

The futurist Alvin Toffler once said the following:

"The illiterate of the 21st century will not be those who cannot read & write, but those who cannot learn, unlearn, and relearn."

Our ability to learn makes us more agile and adaptable and ready to enter 2012 and excel even in VUCA conditions. At the end of the is not what we predict, but the opportunities we create for ourselves, our teams and those around us.

All the best in 2012.


J. Keith Dunbar is a Global Talent Management Leader...Creator of Talent, Leadership Capability, and Culture Change...He can be found connecting and sharing knowledge on Google+, Twitter and LinkedIn.

Twitter: JKeithDunbar
LinkedIn: J. Keith Dunbar
Google+: J. Keith Dunbar
Blog: DNA of Human Capital

The opinions or views expressed here are mine alone and do not represent the views of the SAIC.


  1. I agree. Good Stuff, Thanks much for sharing your views. Wishing you all success in 2012.

    Human Capital Management

  2. Same to you...All the best in 2012...

  3. You got me thinking again, Keith. As I reskill for 2012 and beyond, I've just realized it's unlikely I'll ever be prepared fully for the opportunities that will make the most difference. My ability to deal with VUCA then, will determine the successes I'll value most. Aloha!

    P.S. Me and VUCA are in conflict!

  4. I suspect that you are much more agile and adaptable than you think based on your potential experiences. Most people just don't think of it that way...


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